2025 NASCAR Cup Series Championship odds: Josh Berry surges after first Cup win

The 2025 NASCAR Cup Series season heads to Homestead-Miami this weekend for the Straight Talk Wireless 400 on FS1.

And fans and bettors are diving into championship futures.

At the end of February, Kyle Larson was the favorite at +500 to win it all. But Christopher Bell's streak — which included wins at Atlanta, COTA and Phoenix — moved him to the top of the list. Now he's +370, shifting from +330 over the last week.

One of the most notable moves on this board, though, was by Josh Berry. 

After the Wood Brothers driver got his very first Cup win at Las Vegas, his odds surged up the board to +2200 from +8000.

Let's dive into the odds at DraftKings Sportsbook as of March 20, with insight from Bob Pockrass.

2025 NASCAR Cup Series Championship

Christopher Bell: +370 (bet $10 to win $47 total)
Kyle Larson: +500 (bet $10 to win $60 total)
William Byron: +600 (bet $10 to win $70 total)
Ryan Blaney: +750 (bet $10 to win $85 total)
Chase Elliott: +900 (bet $10 to win $100 total)
Joey Logano: +1000 (bet $10 to win $110 total)
Tyler Reddick: +1000 (bet $10 to win $110 total)
Denny Hamlin: +1100 (bet $10 to win $120 total)
Kyle Busch: +2000 (bet $10 to win $210 total)
Ross Chastain: +2200 (bet $10 to win $230 total)
Josh Berry: +2200 (bet $10 to win $230 total)
Chase Briscoe: +2500 (bet $10 to win $260 total)
Brad Keselowski: +3000 (bet $10 to win $310 total)
Chris Buescher: +3500 (bet $10 to win $360 total)
Alex Bowman: +3500 (bet $10 to win $360 total)
Austin Cindric: +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total)
Ty Gibbs: +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total)
Bubba Wallace: +6500 (bet $10 to win $660 total)
Shane van Gisbergen: +10000 (bet $10 to win $1,010 total)
Ryan Preece: +10000 (bet $10 to win $1,010 total)
Daniel Suarez: +10000 (bet $10 to win $1,010 total)
Carson Hocevar: +10000 (bet $10 to win $1,010 total)
Todd Gilliland: +20000 (bet $10 to win $2,010 total)
Noah Gragson: +20000 (bet $10 to win $2,010 total)
Michael McDowell: +20000 (bet $10 to win $2,010 total)
Austin Dillon: +20000 (bet $10 to win $2,010 total)
Justin Haley: +25000 (bet $10 to win $2,510 total)
AJ Allmendinger: +25000 (bet $10 to win $2,510 total)
Zane Smith: +25000 (bet $10 to win $2,510 total)
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: +30000 (bet $10 to win $3,010 total)
Erik Jones: +30000 (bet $10 to win $3,010 total)
Cole Custer: +30000 (bet $10 to win $3,010 total)
John Hunter Nemechek: +50000 (bet $10 to win $5,010 total)
Ty Dillon: +50000 (bet $10 to win $5,010 total)

2025 Season Total Race Wins (as of Jan. 29)

AJ Allmendinger
Over 0.5: +110
Under 0.5: -140

Carson Hocevar
Over 0.5: +150
Under 0.5: -190

Chase Elliott
Over 1.5: -135
Under 1.5: -105

Christopher Bell
Over 3.5: -110
Under 3.5: -125

Denny Hamlin
Over 3.5: +110
Under 3.5: -150

Kyle Busch
Over 1.5: +110
Under 1.5: -140

Kyle Larson
Over 5.5: +100
Under 5.5: -135

Michael McDowell
Over 0.5: +125
Under 0.5: -165

Ryan Blaney
Over 2.5: -175
Under 2.5: +135

Shane Van Gisbergen
Over 1.5: -140
Under 1.5: +110

Ty Gibbs
Over 0.5: -140
Under 0.5: +110

Tyler Reddick
Over 3.5: +125
Under 3.5: -165

William Byron
Over 3.5: -115
Under 3.5: -115

Check out this preseason expert insight from FOX Sports motorsports insider Bob Pockrass, as of Jan. 29.

Championship Predictions:

The best bets to win the 2025 Cup Series title? If experience and history mean anything, Kyle Larson and Ryan Blaney will be the drivers to beat when it comes down to the finale at Phoenix Raceway.

Blaney won the title in 2023 and arguably had the fastest car in the 2024 championship race but got mired in a little bit of traffic on a late restart and couldn't rally enough to beat teammate Joey Logano. Team Penske has won three consecutive titles (Logano in 2022 and 2024 and Blaney in 2023) and appears to have found an edge in making speed at Phoenix. Also, with it possibly the last year for the championship to be in Phoenix, Blaney will be looking to capitalize at a track where he seemingly is one to beat.

Larson won the 2021 title and earned a series-high six victories in 2024. He didn't make the championship round last year but like Blaney, is a driver who consistently finds a little more speed. He admits that Penske has the advantage with the finale at Phoenix, but Hendrick Motorsports still has the entire season to make gains on its short-track program. And a potential softer tire for the championship race potentially could cut into the gap between Penske and the rest of the field.

Race Win Total Predictions:

Busch came inches away from winning two races last year. Getting those inches back seems so close and yet so far away. He could just as easily win three races as he could no races.

In his first full season, van Gisbergen will win a Cup race on a road course. He should win two, but the rigors of a 38-race schedule and the precision needed from not just him, but his team could keep him from having multiple wins in 2025.

Gibbs has been on the brink of victory several times in his first three years. More likely than not, he will get that first Cup triumph this season.

Reddick is hitting his prime as a Cup driver. But he's never had more than three victories in one season and while three again seems attainable, a fourth is iffy.

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